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Chebucto Regional Softball Club

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  3. The thing about a jobs report is you can verify that data.
A forum for discussing and organizing recreational softball and baseball games and leagues in the greater Halifax area.

The thing about a jobs report is you can verify that data.

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  • myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
    myrmepropagandist
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    The thing about a jobs report is you can verify that data. You can check if it is correct.

    If, a president suspected that an evil Labor Department employee was making the numbers worse it shouldn't be hard to show, you know, evidence of this.

    It's not a subjective report. It's based on social security and hard numbers.

    So, if you fire the person the same day the report comes out without even pretending to debunk it? That's just political emotion-based reasoning.

    myrmepropagandistF Space Catitude 🚀T 3 Replies Last reply
    0
    • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

      The thing about a jobs report is you can verify that data. You can check if it is correct.

      If, a president suspected that an evil Labor Department employee was making the numbers worse it shouldn't be hard to show, you know, evidence of this.

      It's not a subjective report. It's based on social security and hard numbers.

      So, if you fire the person the same day the report comes out without even pretending to debunk it? That's just political emotion-based reasoning.

      myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
      myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
      myrmepropagandist
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      As for "now we can't trust the numbers anymore" --probably. I'd be scared to put out a bad report if I had that job, however.

      We should also be able to show where the report detaches from reality.

      The real issue is that we can all see that nobody is hiring. Fake good reports can only glaze over so much.

      myrmepropagandistF Rich Puchalsky  ⩜⃝R 3 Replies Last reply
      0
      • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

        The thing about a jobs report is you can verify that data. You can check if it is correct.

        If, a president suspected that an evil Labor Department employee was making the numbers worse it shouldn't be hard to show, you know, evidence of this.

        It's not a subjective report. It's based on social security and hard numbers.

        So, if you fire the person the same day the report comes out without even pretending to debunk it? That's just political emotion-based reasoning.

        myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
        myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
        myrmepropagandist
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        The stock market and Fed are treating this report like it's real. Interesting.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

          As for "now we can't trust the numbers anymore" --probably. I'd be scared to put out a bad report if I had that job, however.

          We should also be able to show where the report detaches from reality.

          The real issue is that we can all see that nobody is hiring. Fake good reports can only glaze over so much.

          myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
          myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
          myrmepropagandist
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          2+2=5
          "The Russian Army is well supplied and ready to stage a protracted invasion without any problems"

          It's NUMBERS

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

            As for "now we can't trust the numbers anymore" --probably. I'd be scared to put out a bad report if I had that job, however.

            We should also be able to show where the report detaches from reality.

            The real issue is that we can all see that nobody is hiring. Fake good reports can only glaze over so much.

            Rich Puchalsky  ⩜⃝R This user is from outside of this forum
            Rich Puchalsky  ⩜⃝R This user is from outside of this forum
            Rich Puchalsky ⩜⃝
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            @futurebird

            I don't understand what you mean here. Of course the data are now bad. More importantly, they are now impossible to check. The report can not be based on "social security and hard numbers" when the organization counting those numbers is itself corrupted.

            "we can all see that no one is hiring" can we? This becomes a contest of anecdotes.

            myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • Rich Puchalsky  ⩜⃝R Rich Puchalsky ⩜⃝

              @futurebird

              I don't understand what you mean here. Of course the data are now bad. More importantly, they are now impossible to check. The report can not be based on "social security and hard numbers" when the organization counting those numbers is itself corrupted.

              "we can all see that no one is hiring" can we? This becomes a contest of anecdotes.

              myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
              myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
              myrmepropagandist
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              @richpuchalsky

              If the count for SS enrollment and payments is bad it is all over. I would think this would be very hard data to mess with since it's very public and has a deep history.

              But, now you are freaking me out and I want to see who is monitoring that data independently. I knew of at least one non-profit that did to track poverty... hmm.

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                As for "now we can't trust the numbers anymore" --probably. I'd be scared to put out a bad report if I had that job, however.

                We should also be able to show where the report detaches from reality.

                The real issue is that we can all see that nobody is hiring. Fake good reports can only glaze over so much.

                myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                myrmepropagandist
                wrote last edited by
                #7

                I expect this position will be filled by someone with no experience or history working with government stats. Because anyone with experience knows that unless the jobs numbers really improve they will be in an impossible place.

                Trying to fake up a jobs report. I don't think it will go well? Not if it's more than a little nudge.

                That is why the old numbers had to be revised. People were starting to talk about how they didn't match.

                myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                  I expect this position will be filled by someone with no experience or history working with government stats. Because anyone with experience knows that unless the jobs numbers really improve they will be in an impossible place.

                  Trying to fake up a jobs report. I don't think it will go well? Not if it's more than a little nudge.

                  That is why the old numbers had to be revised. People were starting to talk about how they didn't match.

                  myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                  myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                  myrmepropagandist
                  wrote last edited by
                  #8

                  There are so many organizations with all kinds of agendas that pour over these numbers ... it's kind of like peer review in a way.

                  myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                    There are so many organizations with all kinds of agendas that pour over these numbers ... it's kind of like peer review in a way.

                    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                    myrmepropagandist
                    wrote last edited by
                    #9

                    I guess what they could do is change the number they release. From "jobs added" to "freedom jobs added" and have a different way of adding them up (count every job three times or whatever)

                    But then all the organizations that use the data for historical comparisons will be mad and want the old numbers. But maybe that's what we'll get.

                    "Newspeak Jobs Total" It's day one of history.

                    myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                      I guess what they could do is change the number they release. From "jobs added" to "freedom jobs added" and have a different way of adding them up (count every job three times or whatever)

                      But then all the organizations that use the data for historical comparisons will be mad and want the old numbers. But maybe that's what we'll get.

                      "Newspeak Jobs Total" It's day one of history.

                      myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                      myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                      myrmepropagandist
                      wrote last edited by
                      #10

                      Investment bankers, the most precious Americans, love the jobs report. They use it to do their projections and make money.

                      Well the honest(er) ones do.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                        The thing about a jobs report is you can verify that data. You can check if it is correct.

                        If, a president suspected that an evil Labor Department employee was making the numbers worse it shouldn't be hard to show, you know, evidence of this.

                        It's not a subjective report. It's based on social security and hard numbers.

                        So, if you fire the person the same day the report comes out without even pretending to debunk it? That's just political emotion-based reasoning.

                        Space Catitude 🚀T This user is from outside of this forum
                        Space Catitude 🚀T This user is from outside of this forum
                        Space Catitude 🚀
                        wrote last edited by
                        #11

                        @futurebird

                        Isn't most of the skullduggery to do with the denominator -- e.g. how people are seeking jobs, how many are "able bodied", etc. There's a lot of definitions to be dishonest about -- and then make numbers that don't compare.

                        myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • Space Catitude 🚀T Space Catitude 🚀

                          @futurebird

                          Isn't most of the skullduggery to do with the denominator -- e.g. how people are seeking jobs, how many are "able bodied", etc. There's a lot of definitions to be dishonest about -- and then make numbers that don't compare.

                          myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                          myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                          myrmepropagandist
                          wrote last edited by
                          #12

                          @TerryHancock

                          Unemployment numbers are much much more fuzzy. But "new jobs added" isn't. Because for most jobs you need to file paperwork for social security. (even if you don't pay into it because it's part time)

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