When Trump sends the national guard to occupy NYC it will be about "subway crime." Wait...
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Listen. I know this is something more center-leaning (or simply nervous) Democratic voters don't like to hear about the elected Democrats we *hope* will protect us from this ongoing and growing police state.
I just wonder if Governor Kathy Hochul has reflected on how, in caving to imaginary Republican fear about crime and immigration, she helped keep the myths alive. Do more moderate Democrats learn? Experience regret?
Or is she thinking ...I should have leaned right harder?
If a reporter asks you "What will you do about the ghosts haunting the city and turning our kids into toads?" You MUST say "Ghosts aren't real. No one can turn someone into a toad." Not "Many people are concerned about ghosts... we have a brought in the national guard to protect from ghost-related concerns. Nonetheless most scientists say ghosts aren't real. Blah blah blah..."
The latter makes you sound like you are nervous and LYING about the ghost problem. It makes people scared of ghosts.
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If a reporter asks you "What will you do about the ghosts haunting the city and turning our kids into toads?" You MUST say "Ghosts aren't real. No one can turn someone into a toad." Not "Many people are concerned about ghosts... we have a brought in the national guard to protect from ghost-related concerns. Nonetheless most scientists say ghosts aren't real. Blah blah blah..."
The latter makes you sound like you are nervous and LYING about the ghost problem. It makes people scared of ghosts.
You can't win over someone who thinks the city is being terrorized by ghosts by doing this, and you are making more people suspect that the ghosts might be real after all by not being firm and clear about the facts.
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You can't win over someone who thinks the city is being terrorized by ghosts by doing this, and you are making more people suspect that the ghosts might be real after all by not being firm and clear about the facts.
"But then they will say I'm soft on ghosts!"
They will say that even if you bring in the got damn ghostbusters themselves.
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"But then they will say I'm soft on ghosts!"
They will say that even if you bring in the got damn ghostbusters themselves.
If Democrats want to talk about "crime problems" they could discuss the poor clearance rate for murders and invest in getting more crimes solved. While violent crime has dropped the clearance rate has stayed the same or gotten worse.
And when crimes go unsolved it hurts people. This is a real problem worth attention and investment.
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If a reporter asks you "What will you do about the ghosts haunting the city and turning our kids into toads?" You MUST say "Ghosts aren't real. No one can turn someone into a toad." Not "Many people are concerned about ghosts... we have a brought in the national guard to protect from ghost-related concerns. Nonetheless most scientists say ghosts aren't real. Blah blah blah..."
The latter makes you sound like you are nervous and LYING about the ghost problem. It makes people scared of ghosts.
The more I think about this the more obvious it is that what centrist, right leaning Democrats do on issues like crime is doomed to fail. On the issue of crime you have:
1. What is the problem and how bad is it?
2. What are effective ways to address the problem?
3. What will we choose to do with current resources?What message is sent by saying "it's not such a big problem, hinting that the ways to address it aren't what we are doing... but then going all in for right wing solutions?
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The more I think about this the more obvious it is that what centrist, right leaning Democrats do on issues like crime is doomed to fail. On the issue of crime you have:
1. What is the problem and how bad is it?
2. What are effective ways to address the problem?
3. What will we choose to do with current resources?What message is sent by saying "it's not such a big problem, hinting that the ways to address it aren't what we are doing... but then going all in for right wing solutions?
@futurebird If they were really concerned about people being pushed in front of trains, they'd install those walls/doors that open synchronously with the train doors that places with properly developed subways have. This actually has a ton of benefits (no track hopping, no trash getting down on the tracks, no danger of tripping/falling onto the tracks) in addition to preventing attacks, and is even estimated to pay for itself over time.
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The more I think about this the more obvious it is that what centrist, right leaning Democrats do on issues like crime is doomed to fail. On the issue of crime you have:
1. What is the problem and how bad is it?
2. What are effective ways to address the problem?
3. What will we choose to do with current resources?What message is sent by saying "it's not such a big problem, hinting that the ways to address it aren't what we are doing... but then going all in for right wing solutions?
@futurebird an important left vs right asymmetry: on the right, principles exist only to be gamed, therefore comprising one's principles is easily portrayed as smart political strategy. This gives many the illusion the same trick can work everywhere. But everywhere else, principles are the foundation, and comprising the foundation often leads either to collapse, or to a slide to the right, or most commonly, both.
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@futurebird If they were really concerned about people being pushed in front of trains, they'd install those walls/doors that open synchronously with the train doors that places with properly developed subways have. This actually has a ton of benefits (no track hopping, no trash getting down on the tracks, no danger of tripping/falling onto the tracks) in addition to preventing attacks, and is even estimated to pay for itself over time.
The trash on the tracks issue is one of the top causes of delays. This would make the trains more reliable and save some money that could help cover the cost of installing the gates and doors.
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If a reporter asks you "What will you do about the ghosts haunting the city and turning our kids into toads?" You MUST say "Ghosts aren't real. No one can turn someone into a toad." Not "Many people are concerned about ghosts... we have a brought in the national guard to protect from ghost-related concerns. Nonetheless most scientists say ghosts aren't real. Blah blah blah..."
The latter makes you sound like you are nervous and LYING about the ghost problem. It makes people scared of ghosts.
@futurebird I agree, but I also wonder whether this actually works?
Sadly, I don't recally any time where someone said "here is the BIGNEWCRIMETHING and we need to do things about it", only to be laughed out of the election cycle because the BIGNEWCRIMETHING wasn't a thing after all.
Is that because laughing them out doesn't work, or is it because laughing them out sadly simply doesn't happen enough?
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@futurebird I agree, but I also wonder whether this actually works?
Sadly, I don't recally any time where someone said "here is the BIGNEWCRIMETHING and we need to do things about it", only to be laughed out of the election cycle because the BIGNEWCRIMETHING wasn't a thing after all.
Is that because laughing them out doesn't work, or is it because laughing them out sadly simply doesn't happen enough?
Politicians are terrified of taking this stance. I don't think I've ever seen anyone take it. But what I have seen is mealy mouthed Democrats who try to explain their policy ideas without ever pushing back on the fake-ness of the scare get twisted up and ruined.
In the 80s there *was* a low-grade and ongoing problem with crime in US cities because their populations had dropped due to suburban exodus.
So a politician who didn't recognize that would get destroyed in media.
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Politicians are terrified of taking this stance. I don't think I've ever seen anyone take it. But what I have seen is mealy mouthed Democrats who try to explain their policy ideas without ever pushing back on the fake-ness of the scare get twisted up and ruined.
In the 80s there *was* a low-grade and ongoing problem with crime in US cities because their populations had dropped due to suburban exodus.
So a politician who didn't recognize that would get destroyed in media.
Crime in many big US cities that have experienced population growth is like it was in the 50s now. There are still crimes, but it's not something most people encounter.
In cities where the population has not grown crime has also decreased, but not nearly as much as in cities that are growing.
NYC continues to grow somehow.
I used to see abandoned lots in my neighborhood. Now it's all built up. There are people everywhere and that's what makes me feel safe.
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@futurebird If they were really concerned about people being pushed in front of trains, they'd install those walls/doors that open synchronously with the train doors that places with properly developed subways have. This actually has a ton of benefits (no track hopping, no trash getting down on the tracks, no danger of tripping/falling onto the tracks) in addition to preventing attacks, and is even estimated to pay for itself over time.
It might also reduce in the station somewhat and improve odor. It's much hard to clean smelly stuff off of the tracks (whether tossed food, or bodily wastes) than it is to clean it off the tiled floors.
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It might also reduce in the station somewhat and improve odor. It's much hard to clean smelly stuff off of the tracks (whether tossed food, or bodily wastes) than it is to clean it off the tiled floors.
Well this is also why we need more clean regularly serviced public toilets. It's a nightmare for my pregnant friends to go around the city. There is nowhere to go to the bathroom without paying. This is a very gross problem with an obvious solution. Are we really going to sit around saying "no NYC is too poor to have bathrooms, we can't afford that kind of extravagance" ?
But we can afford to have army guys with huge guns just standing around?
Give me a break.
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When people, mostly transit advocates who want more funding to repair subway stations and signals and improve the system objected to the national guard last year they were written off as simple peace-nicks who protest *everything* and don't understand the political reality. "This will keep conservative NYers feeling safe, what's the big deal"
But it isn't making them "feel safe" it's validating the republican idea that the city is in chaos when it's just NOT.
The difference between being unsafe and “feeling” unsafe is the difference between reality and a fever dream.
Every “law and order” push I have ever seen in my lifetime has accomplished one thing very well: to make people “feel” unsafe regardless of reality.
And feeling unsafe is all the permission most people need to step in line with the fascists and support the targeting and oppression of pretty much anyone.
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The difference between being unsafe and “feeling” unsafe is the difference between reality and a fever dream.
Every “law and order” push I have ever seen in my lifetime has accomplished one thing very well: to make people “feel” unsafe regardless of reality.
And feeling unsafe is all the permission most people need to step in line with the fascists and support the targeting and oppression of pretty much anyone.
Not having a massive library open till midnight one block away makes ME feel unsafe. What if I finish my book and need a new one? What will I do.
Suffer. That's what.
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There are many older New Yorkers who worry about their kids riding the subway. After all they see all of the stories in the news. And the National Guard! *they* don't go on the trains themselves but they remember the 80s. (In the 80s the subways were much more dilapidated and crime was higher, ridership was lower which made it less safe.)
But when these older people tell their kids to be safe we laugh at them and brag "I ride at 3 am CALM DOWN" that must be be so stressful.
I remember riding the NY subway in the 90s and when I returned in the 2010s and also in 2022 it felt like a huge change had happened. It felt so much more boring and safer.
And in 1985 my parents would take the subway in NYC with me (4) and my sister (2). They said the only time they were ever attacked was by a bunch of teenagers throwing oranges at everybody.
I think you're right: higher ridership makes it safer for everyone. -
@futurebird As with the current situation, crime was overhyped in the name of policing. Very frustrating.
To your main point: I do remember how jarring it was to have tac-garbed people with automatic rifles standing guard (over what?!) in, e.g. Penn Station after 9/11.
At the time, my dad said, "They're trying to get us used to it." (The term "Overton Window" hadn't entered public discourse yet.)
He was right, of course.
@afeinman @futurebird I remember seeing soldiers like that in Europe (France, I think?) and thinking it was weird but getting used to it super fast.
(French people, do you have soldiers with big rifles in public places or am I misremembering?)